Simple probabilities
WARNING RED is only for dyed in the wool mathematicians.
a.
If you are declarer and have 11 cards of a suit, what is the chance,
the suit is divided 1/1 in the opponents hands?
Combin(2;1)*Combin(24;12)/combin(26;13) = 52%
To verify type in the missing cards calculator: xx and get 24% 52% and 24%
a.
If you are declarer and have 10 cards of a suit, what is the chance,
the suit is divided 2/1 in the opponents hands?
Combin(3;1)*Combin(23;12)/combin(26;13)
= 39% is the chance for 1-2.
The same for 2-1 sums up to 78%
To verify type in the missing cards calculator: xxx and get 11% 39% 39% and
11%
a. Rolling a dice, what is the chance to hit a 6? 1 out of 6 = 1/6 = 16,7%
b.
Rolling a dice what is the chance to get a number which is greater
than 2?
4 out of 6 = 4/6 = 66,7%
c.
Rolling 2 dices, what is the chance getting exactly 7 points?
1+6=7 2+5=7 3+4=7 4+3=7 5+2=7 6+1=7
6 out of 36 = 6/36 = 1/6 = 16,7%
a. How many different hands of 13 out of 52 cards are possible? Combin(52;13)= 635.013.559.600
b.
What is the chance, to hold exactly 0, 1, 2, 3 or 4 aces in your hand?
0 Aces: combin(4;0)*combin(48;13)/combin(52;13)= 30,38%
1 Ace: combin(4;1)*combin(48;12)/combin(52;13)= 43,88%
2 Aces: combin(4;2)*combin(48;11)/combin(52;13)= 21,35%
3 Aces: combin(4;3)*combin(48;10)/combin(52;13)= 4,12%
4 Aces: combin(4;4)*combin(48;9)/combin(52;13)= 0,26%